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Africa's Lake Chad Loses 90% Of Its Water As $50bn Congo Diversion Plan Seeks To Revive It

 A once-vast inland lake that sustained millions is now at the centre of one of Africa's most ambitious environmental recovery plans

Governments and development partners race to restore livelihoods as climate change, economic hardship and insecurity deepen across the Lake Chad Basin

 

By Chris Stone with Agencies report



Lake Chad, once one of Africa's largest freshwater lakes, has lost around 90% of its surface area since 1960, transforming from a vast body of water covering about 25,000 square kilometres into a fraction of its former size. The dramatic decline has left governments across Central and West Africa searching for lasting solutions to an environmental crisis that now threatens the lives and livelihoods of roughly 50 million people.

Stretching across Cameroon, Chad, Niger and Nigeria, the lake has for generations provided fishing grounds, farmland, drinking water and grazing areas. Today, however, many of the communities that once depended on its waters are facing growing uncertainty as shrinking shorelines, declining fish stocks and reduced agricultural productivity continue to reshape daily life.

To confront the challenge, regional governments are backing an ambitious proposal known as Transaqua, a project estimated to cost US$50 billion. The plan seeks to transfer water from the Congo River Basin into the Chari River, Lake Chad's main source of water, with the aim of restoring the lake and supporting long-term economic recovery.

The decline of Lake Chad has not happened overnight. Scientists and policymakers point to a combination of climate change, rising temperatures, prolonged droughts and increasingly unpredictable rainfall as major drivers behind the crisis. At the same time, rapid population growth and expanding irrigation have increased demand for already limited water resources, placing even greater pressure on the fragile ecosystem.

The effects extend well beyond the environment. As water levels have dropped, fishing communities have seen their catches diminish, fertile farmland has disappeared in many places and competition over grazing land and water has intensified. Those pressures have weakened household incomes, threatened food supplies and pushed many vulnerable families towards humanitarian assistance.

Lake Chad's importance has long been recognised. In 1823, British explorers Hugh Clapperton, Dixon Denham and Walter Oudney were among the first Europeans to document the lake and the thriving kingdoms surrounding it. At the time, they encountered one of the continent's most impressive inland water bodies. Two centuries later, its remarkable transformation has become one of Africa's most pressing environmental concerns.

While the Transaqua proposal has attracted considerable attention, governments are also investing in shorter-term measures designed to stabilise the region while larger plans are being evaluated.

In May 2026, the African Development Bank, the Lake Chad Basin Commission and the commission's five member states launched a US$10 million technical assistance programme known as PARFEBALT. The initiative aims to improve water monitoring, strengthen cooperation among countries sharing the basin and prepare the groundwork for larger restoration projects capable of reviving both the lake's ecosystem and the local economy.

International financial institutions have also expanded support. In 2020, the World Bank approved US$346 million for two regional programmes intended to strengthen livelihoods, improve regional cooperation and increase resilience across Cameroon, Chad, Niger and Nigeria.

Another US$170 million Lake Chad Region Recovery and Development Project has focused on climate-smart farming, reopening local markets and creating employment opportunities. By October 2025, the programme had improved the livelihoods of about 1.5 million people while providing direct assistance to more than 434,000 residents across affected communities.

The World Bank also approved a further US$170 million in February 2025 to improve transport networks, logistics and regional trade in Chad. That programme is expected to benefit approximately 3.8 million people, while supporting major road infrastructure intended to strengthen economic links within the region.

Meanwhile, the African Development Fund has committed US$17.97 million to stabilisation efforts in Cameroon and Chad, targeting about 125,200 people through projects aimed at strengthening vulnerable communities.

The idea behind Transaqua itself is not new. It was first proposed in 1982 by Italian engineering company Bonifica Spa, which suggested constructing a 2,400-kilometre canal linking tributaries of the Congo River to the Chari River. The proposal remained largely on paper for decades because of its enormous cost, engineering complexity and the need for cooperation among several countries.

Renewed interest emerged after the 14th Summit of Heads of State and Government of the Lake Chad Basin Commission in April 2016. Following that meeting, the commission signed a memorandum of understanding with POWERCHINA International Group Limited to support studies into transferring water from the Congo Basin to Lake Chad. At the time, the company's vice-president, Tian Hailua, announced technical and financial support, including US$1.8 million for preparatory work.

Supporters argue that, if eventually implemented, the Transaqua project could deliver benefits beyond simply restoring water levels. They believe it could boost electricity generation, expand agricultural production, improve transport links and encourage industrial development across one of Africa's fastest-growing regions.

However, the proposal has yet to move into construction. Questions surrounding financing, environmental impact assessments and agreements among participating governments continue to delay progress, leaving the project in the planning stage.

The urgency of finding lasting solutions has become even greater because of the region's wider humanitarian challenges. Poverty, unemployment and insecurity have grown alongside the lake's decline. Although environmental degradation did not create the conflicts affecting the region, fewer economic opportunities have made many communities increasingly vulnerable.

Extremist groups, including Boko Haram, have exploited unemployment, weak government presence and social frustration in parts of north-eastern Nigeria and neighbouring countries. According to available figures, more than 77,500 people were displaced across the Lake Chad Basin between January and July 2026, adding fresh pressure on governments working to improve security and restore economic opportunities.

For millions of people living around Lake Chad, the debate is no longer simply about saving a lake. It is about protecting jobs, preserving food production, strengthening regional stability and giving future generations a realistic chance to thrive. Whether that future is shaped by the ambitious Transaqua proposal, ongoing restoration programmes or a combination of both, the decisions made in the coming years are likely to determine the direction of one of Africa's most important ecological and human stories for decades to come.

 

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